NO EXCESS DEATHS = NO PANDEMIC
Simple as that.
Medical Definition of Pandemic
Medical Author: William C. Shiel Jr., MD, FACP, FACR
Pandemic: An epidemic (a sudden outbreak) that becomes very widespread and affects a whole region, a continent, or the world due to a susceptible population. By definition, a true pandemic causes a high [i.e. exceptional] degree of mortality (death).
https://www.medicinenet.com/script/main/art.asp?articlekey=4751