High Risk in the 5 Weeks following COVID Vaccines
A common saying is "One step forward, two steps back" but it refers to something that helps early on and only harms you later on. Initially after taking vaccines, there is a time period during which you are temporarily fragile, where you are susceptible to higher risk of death than even the unvaccinated.
The justification for taking something that has some early danger associated with it is because you are banking on so much protection from disease later on that, over time, the balance shifts in your favor -- making the choice to vaccinate out to be something that is, on net, a good thing for health.
But that is assuming that the protection you get is big enough to overcome the danger you had initially imposed on your health when you took a vaccine into your body. Because of "rushed science", we are not yet sure of the magnitude of danger you impose on yourself by taking a COVID vaccine.
A disturbing report by the Ministry of Health in Israel was reported on by Ynet on 11 Feb 2021. It showed 7438 people over age 60 had got the first dose of COVID vaccine and, two weeks later, 344 of them were dead.
A conservative estimate for expected deaths out of every 7438 people over age 60 who are followed for two weeks is the death you'd see if they were Americans aged 75-84: 0.843 death per 1000 person-weeks of observation. Using this estimate puts expected deaths at 12.5 for those 2 weeks.
Excess deaths are the observed deaths (344) minus the expected ones (12.5): 331.5 excess deaths associated with getting the COVID vaccine.
In order to make up for this lost life associated with getting the COVID vaccine, the vaccine would have to protect you fully (100%) for 7 months. To make up for all lost life for 5 weeks of follow-up (including the first two weeks after the second dose of vaccine), you'd need vaccines to fully (100%) protect you for 23 months.
But COVID vaccines don't even fully (100%) protect you for 9 months, making the trade-off too high to be beneficial. The expected end-result of vaccinating those over age 60 is that you'll cause the loss of more lives than you save: a net harm to society.
The indication by Seligmann (cited below) is that it is just as bad if not worse for the young to get COVID vaccines as it is for the old.
Reference
Seligmann, Herve. (2021). Expert evaluation on adverse effects of the Pfizer-COVID-19 vaccination. Correlation analyses between vaccinations and infections and deaths. Available: ( https://www.researchgate.net/publication/351441506_Expert_evaluation_on_adverse_effects_of_the_Pfizer-COVID-19_vaccination ). Accessed 30 Aug 2021
Ynet report (in Hebrew) on 11 Feb 2021. Available: ( https://www.ynet.co.il/news/article/rJ9Bs0zW00 ). Accessed 30 Aug 2021