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SARS-CoV2 Fact Check Series #11 The data on business and school closures, lockdowns, mask mandates, and other restrictions compared against COVID hospitalization rate by state shows essentially no correlation (0.1 statistical correlation can be rounded off to zero). The data from the federal government (healthdat.gov) shows zero evidence that the restriction measures state governments ordered had any measurable effect. This doesn't prove it had no effect, only that it did not produce a measurable effect. If restrictions worked well, it would be obvious with 50 states worth of data from severe lockdown to no lockdowns at all. Yet we find a scatterplot of random outcomes for the 50 states. It doesn't show restrictions made it better, or that it made it worse. It points toward restrictions not mattering at all. It seems the virus doesn't care what the government says and does. The virus doesn't care how well the people go along with the government's mandates. The amount of "protection" mandates imposed show no impact on the hospitalization rate. A reasonable conclusion is that it didn't work, and any government official paying a small amount of attention should know this by now. Put the ball in the court of those in favor of free assembly restrictions, mask mandates, and forced business closures. Make them use data to prove their case. I'll wait. [Keith]

206 views · Apr 29th

More from Lutra23

repeat
206 views

SARS-CoV2 Fact Check Series #11 The data on business and school closures, lockdowns, mask mandates, and other restrictions compared against COVID hospitalization rate by state shows essentially no correlation (0.1 statistical correlation can be rounded off to zero). The data from the federal government (healthdat.gov) shows zero evidence that the restriction measures state governments ordered had any measurable effect. This doesn't prove it had no effect, only that it did not produce a measurable effect. If restrictions worked well, it would be obvious with 50 states worth of data from severe lockdown to no lockdowns at all. Yet we find a scatterplot of random outcomes for the 50 states. It doesn't show restrictions made it better, or that it made it worse. It points toward restrictions not mattering at all. It seems the virus doesn't care what the government says and does. The virus doesn't care how well the people go along with the government's mandates. The amount of "protection" mandates imposed show no impact on the hospitalization rate. A reasonable conclusion is that it didn't work, and any government official paying a small amount of attention should know this by now. Put the ball in the court of those in favor of free assembly restrictions, mask mandates, and forced business closures. Make them use data to prove their case. I'll wait. [Keith]

206 views · Apr 29th