Today, there are about 15 projected paths for hurricane Dorian. Three of the paths deviate significantly from the main group and one of them deviated wildly. Yesterday, there were about 20 projected paths. Four of them deviated significantly in very different paths than today's deviations and one of them deviated wildly, yet the same path as today. Two days ago, there was near consensus that the hurricane was going to follow the path that deviates the most from the others for the past two days. There is extremely low resolution for the scientific predictions of the paths of landfall., yet scientist KNOW the Earth is screwed 15-20yrs from now.
Since 2015 there's been a realization that an estimated 50 percent of science is actually WRONG. This has occurred because scientist have gotten lax in the 'scientific method' which is supposed to keep them from arriving at incorrect answers they expect and/or WANT to find.